Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 30/10, 05:00
Prediction: Yaroslav Demin vs Harold Mayot
Team pages: Yaroslav Demin · Harold Mayot
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaroslav Demin
Harold Mayot
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yaroslav Demin
9-1 (W-L)
Harold Mayot
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaroslav Demin 1575 · Harold Mayot 1559
| Yaroslav Demin | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yaroslav Demin | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.9 | 12.5-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 45% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Filip Peliwo M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Tianhui Zhang Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaroslav Demin vs Harold Mayot?
Our model gives 65% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.