Prediction: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks
Team pages: Mia Pohankova · Alycia Parks
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Pohankova
Alycia Parks
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Pohankova
6-4 (W-L)
Alycia Parks
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Pohankova 1573 · Alycia Parks 1515
| Mia Pohankova | Alycia Parks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Pohankova (rating 1573 vs 1515).
- Note: Alycia Parks makes many double faults (8.2/match).
Statistics
| Mia Pohankova | Alycia Parks | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.1 | 9.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 8.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 51% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Pohankova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Tereza Valentova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Xiyu Wang WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 12/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Katie Swan WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Veronika Podrez WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Francisca Jorge WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Alycia Parks
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Xinyu Wang WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Heather Watson WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/10 | Ena Shibahara WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 20/10 | Sara Bejlek WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Lin Zhu WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks?
Our model gives 61% to Mia Pohankova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.