Tennis · WTA Tokyo · 30/10, 03:00

Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider

Team pages: Alexandra Eala · Diana Shnaider

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Alexandra Eala Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Eala 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWL
Diana Shnaider 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWLW
Head-to-head
Alexandra Eala 0–1 Diana Shnaider (1 last)
  • 22 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexandra Eala 1526 · Diana Shnaider 1571
Alexandra EalaDiana Shnaider
Our model44%56%
Market40%60%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diana Shnaider (rating 1526 vs 1571).
  • Head-to-head: Alexandra Eala 0–1 Diana Shnaider (1).

Statistics

Alexandra EalaDiana Shnaider
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.5-0.8
Games (G-P)12.6-10.112.5-10
Aces20.9
Double faults2.93.3
1st serve %65.6%64.1%
Break %52.2%53.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.5
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.80 Under 20.5: 40% · 1.90

H2H · Alexandra Eala 0 – 1 Diana Shnaider (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandra Eala 0–1 Diana Shnaider

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DateSetsGamesRes.
22/10/26
WTA Ningbo
0-29-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexandra Eala

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Talia Gibson
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-1 16-8 W
26/10 Mika Stojsavljevic
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/10 Diana Shnaider
WTA Ningbo · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
19/10 Diane Parry
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
12/10 Han Shi
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
01/10 Xiyu Wang
Asian Games
1-2 11-15 L
24/09 Tatiana Prozorova
WTA Singapore · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
06/09 Iva Jovic
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
03/09 Oleksandra Oliynykova
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/09 Mary Stoiana
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Diana Shnaider

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
24/10 Elena Rybakina
WTA Ningbo · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/10 Iva Jovic
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
22/10 Alexandra Eala
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
20/10 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
16/10 Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
15/10 Karolina Muchova
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
14/10 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/10 Katie Boulter
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
04/10 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 13-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider?

Our model gives 59% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.