Prediction: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
Team pages: Elena Rybakina · Yulia Putintseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Rybakina
Yulia Putintseva
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Rybakina
8-2 (W-L)
Yulia Putintseva
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elena Rybakina
2–2
Yulia Putintseva
(4 last)
- 21 Mar2-0 12-6W
- 01 May2-1 18-17W
- 09 Oct0-2 8-13L
- 18 Sept1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Rybakina 1630 · Yulia Putintseva 1571
| Elena Rybakina | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Rybakina (rating 1630 vs 1571).
- Elena Rybakina dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 48.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Elena Rybakina | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-9.3 | 12.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3
Over 18.5: 70% · 1.83
Under 18.5: 30% · 1.83
H2H · Elena Rybakina 2 – 2 Yulia Putintseva (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elena Rybakina 2–2 Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 WTA Miami | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/05/24 WTA Madrid | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/10/21 WTA Indian Wells | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09/20 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Rybakina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Coco Gauff US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/09 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Yulia Starodubtsewa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Maria Sakkari WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/10 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/10 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Alycia Parks WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Yihan Qu WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Shuai Zhang Asian Games |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva?
Our model gives 73% to Elena Rybakina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.