Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 29/10, 17:00

Prediction: Micah Braswell vs Nikita Filin

Team pages: Micah Braswell · Nikita Filin

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Micah Braswell Nikita Filin
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Micah Braswell 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLLL
Nikita Filin 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Micah Braswell 1467 · Nikita Filin 1560
Micah BraswellNikita Filin
Our model37%63%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Filin (rating 1467 vs 1560).
  • Nikita Filin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Nikita Filin makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Micah BraswellNikita Filin
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.5-0.8
Games (G-P)8.6-11.711.6-9.4
Aces4.13.6
Double faults2.15.4
1st serve %60.3%69%
Break %31.8%45.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Micah Braswell

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Ithaca
0-2 6-12 L
15/10 Benjamin Willwerth
M25 Austin
0-2 6-12 L
14/10 Devin Badenhorst
M25 Austin
2-1 9-11 W
13/10 Gabriel Debru
M25 Austin
2-1 9-9 W
01/10 Hugo Coquelin
M15 Ann Arbor
0-2 4-12 L
29/09 Adhithya Ganesan
M15 Ann Arbor
2-1 18-17 W
24/09 Gavin Goode
M15 Columbia
0-2 4-12 L
02/02 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Cleveland · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
01/02 Anmay Devaraj
Challenger Cleveland · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
27/01 Trevor Svajda
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Nikita Filin

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Andreja Petrovic
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/10 Milos Mikovic
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/09 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
15/08 Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing
1-2 16-17 L
14/08 Ozan Baris
M25 East Lansing
2-0 12-7 W
13/08 Marko Mesarovic
M25 East Lansing
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Naoya Honda
M25 East Lansing
2-1 16-8 W
11/08 Ethan Muza
M25 East Lansing
2-0 12-6 W
29/07 Ozan Baris
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 3-12 L
28/07 Maximus Dussault
M25 Edwardsville
2-1 12-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Micah Braswell vs Nikita Filin?

Our model gives 63% to Nikita Filin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.