Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 30/10, 17:00
Prediction: Aidan Kim vs Jack Anthrop
Team pages: Aidan Kim · Jack Anthrop
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Kim
Jack Anthrop
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Kim
7-3 (W-L)
Jack Anthrop
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aidan Kim
1–1
Jack Anthrop
(2 last)
- 16 Nov0-2 8-13L
- 22 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Kim 1535 · Jack Anthrop 1604
| Aidan Kim | Jack Anthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Anthrop (rating 1535 vs 1604).
- Jack Anthrop dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 46.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Aidan Kim | Jack Anthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.1 | 12.1-8.9 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 82.4% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 36% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Aidan Kim 1 – 1 Jack Anthrop (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aidan Kim 1–1 Jack Anthrop
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/25 ITF M25 Columbus | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07/24 M25 Champaign | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Kim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Luca Preda M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Dominique Rolland M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Austin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Dan Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Ronit Karki Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Richard Mallory Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Trey Hilderbrand Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Jack Anthrop
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Alexander Rozin M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Neo Niedner M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Rafael Ymer M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Jack Secord M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Ithaca |
1-1 | 8-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Felipe Pinzon Moreno M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Pepijn Bastiaansen M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Kim vs Jack Anthrop?
Our model gives 50% to Aidan Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.