Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 30/10, 17:00
Prediction: William Jansen vs Nikita Filin
Team pages: William Jansen · Nikita Filin
Prediction summary
Winner
William Jansen
Nikita Filin
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
William Jansen
7-3 (W-L)
Nikita Filin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Jansen 1564 · Nikita Filin 1550
| William Jansen | Nikita Filin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikita Filin makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| William Jansen | Nikita Filin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-7.8 | 12.3-9.5 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Jansen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Andrew Johnson M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Xavier Calvelo M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Jack Anthrop M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Mikael Arseneault M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Columbia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 25/09 | Evan Bynoe M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Corey Craig M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/09 | Seydina Andre M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Louis Bowden M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nikita Filin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Micah Braswell M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Milos Mikovic M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Ozan Baris M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Marko Mesarovic M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Naoya Honda M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Ethan Muza M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Jansen vs Nikita Filin?
Our model gives 52% to William Jansen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.