Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 29/10, 18:30

Prediction: Alexander Rozin vs Jack Anthrop

Team pages: Alexander Rozin · Jack Anthrop

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Alexander Rozin Jack Anthrop
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Rozin 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWLW
Jack Anthrop 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Rozin 1515 · Jack Anthrop 1588
Alexander RozinJack Anthrop
Our model40%60%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Anthrop (rating 1515 vs 1588).
  • Jack Anthrop dominates on serve: 6 aces and 46.5% break avg.

Statistics

Alexander RozinJack Anthrop
Win %60%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.6-0.8
Games (G-P)11.2-10.312.2-9.1
Aces5.36
Double faults1.71.4
1st serve %72.1%76.7%
Break %45.2%46.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Rozin

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Ofek Shimanov
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/10 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Fayetteville
0-2 5-12 L
02/10 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 13-10 W
01/10 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
M15 Fayetteville
2-1 14-12 W
30/09 Noah Schlagenhauf
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 12-5 W
17/08 Dusan Lajovic
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/07 Anton Shepp
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
14/07 Keegan Rice
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
13/07 Kokoro Isomura
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
12/07 Renta Tokuda
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Jack Anthrop

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Neo Niedner
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
25/10 Rodrigo Fernandes
M15 Ithaca
0-2 4-12 L
24/10 Rafael Ymer
M15 Ithaca
2-1 17-15 W
23/10 Jack Secord
M15 Ithaca
2-0 12-7 W
22/10 Eli Stephenson
M15 Ithaca
1-1 8-4 W
21/10 Felipe Pinzon Moreno
M15 Ithaca
2-1 16-13 W
18/10 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Lexington
1-2 13-15 L
17/10 Eli Stephenson
M15 Lexington
2-1 15-11 W
16/10 Pepijn Bastiaansen
M15 Lexington
2-0 12-2 W
15/10 William Jansen
M15 Lexington
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Rozin vs Jack Anthrop?

Our model gives 57% to Jack Anthrop, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.