Tennis · M25 Norman · 29/10, 16:00
Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Ilya Snitari
Team pages: Lui Maxted · Ilya Snitari
Prediction summary
Winner
Lui Maxted
Ilya Snitari
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted
6-4 (W-L)
Ilya Snitari
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1568 · Ilya Snitari 1594
| Lui Maxted | Ilya Snitari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lui Maxted | Ilya Snitari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.9-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.7 | 13.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lui Maxted
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/10 | Aidan Kim M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Blu Baker M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ilya Snitari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Walid Ahouda M25 Norman |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Henry Lieberman M25 Norman |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/07 | David Cristian Carteputreda M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Slobozia |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Niccolo Catini M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Ilya Snitari?
Our model gives 61% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.