Tennis · W50 Morelia · 29/10, 21:00

Prediction: Ana Carmen Zamburek vs Anastasia Tikhonova

Team pages: Ana Carmen Zamburek · Anastasia Tikhonova

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Ana Carmen Zamburek Anastasia Tikhonova
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ana Carmen Zamburek 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWLWWW
Anastasia Tikhonova 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ana Carmen Zamburek 1583 · Anastasia Tikhonova 1526
Ana Carmen ZamburekAnastasia Tikhonova
Our model58%42%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ana Carmen Zamburek (rating 1583 vs 1526).
  • Note: Anastasia Tikhonova makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Ana Carmen ZamburekAnastasia Tikhonova
Win %80%70%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12.4-7.711.7-9
Aces0.94.5
Double faults3.75.6
1st serve %62.8%74.8%
Break %58.7%51.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ana Carmen Zamburek

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Miriana Tona
W50 Morelia
2-0 12-7 W
27/10 Maddalena Giordano
W50 Morelia
2-1 18-10 W
26/10 Ximena Senties
W50 Morelia
2-0 12-5 W
04/07 Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
03/07 Natalia Trigosso
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Juliana Rodriguez
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
25/06 Ana Candiotto
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Josefina Estevez
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Martina Maria Bovio
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Anastasia Tikhonova

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin
W50 Morelia
2-0 12-2 W
28/10 Midori Castillo Meza
W50 Morelia
2-0 12-6 W
23/10 Ella Mcdonald
W50 Austin
1-2 10-15 L
22/10 Yeon Woo Ku
W50 Austin
2-1 14-14 W
21/10 Xinyu Gao
W50 Austin
2-0 12-5 W
19/10 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W50 Austin
2-0 13-9 W
04/10 Mariia Tkacheva
WTA Samsun · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/09 Simona Waltert
WTA Adana · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
27/09 Viktoria Hruncakova
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
26/09 Aysegul Mert
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ana Carmen Zamburek vs Anastasia Tikhonova?

Our model gives 66% to Anastasia Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.