Tennis · W50 Morelia · 29/10, 23:30
Prediction: Justina Mikulskyte vs Cadence Brace
Team pages: Justina Mikulskyte · Cadence Brace
Prediction summary
Winner
Justina Mikulskyte
Cadence Brace
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Justina Mikulskyte
3-7 (W-L)
Cadence Brace
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Justina Mikulskyte
1–0
Cadence Brace
(1 last)
- 08 Dec2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justina Mikulskyte 1471 · Cadence Brace 1535
| Justina Mikulskyte | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cadence Brace (rating 1471 vs 1535).
- Head-to-head: Justina Mikulskyte 1–0 Cadence Brace (1).
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Justina Mikulskyte | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.5 | 10-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Justina Mikulskyte 1 – 0 Cadence Brace (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Justina Mikulskyte 1–0 Cadence Brace
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/23 ITF W25 Mogi Das Cruzes | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justina Mikulskyte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Caterina Odorizzi W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Giulia Alessia Monteleone W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Hiromi Abe W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Isabella Marton W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Chloe Paquet WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Antonia Rivera WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Cadence Brace
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Ingrid C Millan W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Sofia Avataneo W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/10 | Mimi Xu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Lilian Poling W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Astra Sharma W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 07/10 | Chukwumelije Clarke W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Amandine Hesse W35 Baza |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Alba Rey Garcia W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Elza Tomase W35 Baza |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Emily Appleton W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justina Mikulskyte vs Cadence Brace?
Our model gives 61% to Cadence Brace, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.