Tennis · W50 Morelia · 28/10, 21:30
Prediction: Miriana Tona vs Ana Carmen Zamburek
Team pages: Miriana Tona · Ana Carmen Zamburek
Prediction summary
Winner
Miriana Tona
Ana Carmen Zamburek
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Miriana Tona
4-6 (W-L)
Ana Carmen Zamburek
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miriana Tona 1510 · Ana Carmen Zamburek 1560
| Miriana Tona | Ana Carmen Zamburek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ana Carmen Zamburek (rating 1510 vs 1560).
- Ana Carmen Zamburek is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Miriana Tona | Ana Carmen Zamburek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-8.7 | 12.4-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 62% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 61.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miriana Tona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Misa Malkin W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Ashley Lahey W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Denislava Glushkova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Anja Stankovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Alina Yuneva W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Oriana Gniewkowska W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ana Carmen Zamburek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Maddalena Giordano W50 Morelia |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Ximena Senties W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Natalia Trigosso Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Juliana Rodriguez Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Ana Candiotto W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Josefina Estevez W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Martina Maria Bovio W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miriana Tona vs Ana Carmen Zamburek?
Our model gives 58% to Miriana Tona, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.