Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: Andrew Johnson vs William Jansen
Team pages: Andrew Johnson · William Jansen
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Johnson
William Jansen
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Johnson
4-6 (W-L)
William Jansen
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Johnson 1526 · William Jansen 1534
| Andrew Johnson | William Jansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrew Johnson | William Jansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.6 | 11.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 73% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Xavi Palomar M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Taro Daniel US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Lucca Liu M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
William Jansen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Xavier Calvelo M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Jack Anthrop M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Mikael Arseneault M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Columbia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 25/09 | Evan Bynoe M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Corey Craig M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/09 | Seydina Andre M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Louis Bowden M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Johnson vs William Jansen?
Our model gives 53% to William Jansen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.