Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: Preston Stearns vs Alejandro Arcila
Team pages: Preston Stearns · Alejandro Arcila
Prediction summary
Winner
Preston Stearns
Alejandro Arcila
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Preston Stearns
8-2 (W-L)
Alejandro Arcila
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Preston Stearns 1567 · Alejandro Arcila 1504
| Preston Stearns | Alejandro Arcila | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Stearns (rating 1567 vs 1504).
- Preston Stearns is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Preston Stearns makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Preston Stearns | Alejandro Arcila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.5 | 10.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Preston Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Matthew Forbes M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Jan Chlodnicki M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Joshua Peck M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Noa Vukadin M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Jon Gamble M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alejandro Arcila
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Julian Alonso M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Nikola Slavic M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lisandru Rodriguez M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Joan Torres Espinosa M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 07/11 | Glib Sekachov UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Matthias Uwe Kask UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Preston Stearns vs Alejandro Arcila?
Our model gives 69% to Preston Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.