Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 29/10, 18:00

Prediction: Andres Santamarta Roig vs Noah Johnston

Team pages: Andres Santamarta Roig · Noah Johnston

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Andres Santamarta Roig Noah Johnston
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Andres Santamarta Roig 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLLL
Noah Johnston 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andres Santamarta Roig 1489 · Noah Johnston 1506
Andres Santamarta RoigNoah Johnston
Our model48%52%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Andres Santamarta RoigNoah Johnston
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 100% (1) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10-9.810.5-11.9
Aces1.32.8
Double faults3.43.7
1st serve %64.6%62.8%
Break %43.6%57.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andres Santamarta Roig

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Max Wiskandt
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
21/07 Lorenzo Angelini
M25 Denia
0-2 4-12 L
13/07 Max Schoenhaus
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
06/07 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 16-18 L
01/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Federico Cina
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/06 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/06 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Philip Henning
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Noah Johnston

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-1 13-16 W
27/10 Photos Photiades
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Jelani Sarr
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 8-13 L
15/07 Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester
0-2 9-13 L
10/07 Noah Zamora
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
1-2 15-15 L
09/07 Jacob Brumm
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 13-7 W
08/07 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-1 13-14 W
01/07 Noah Zamora
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Ozan Baris
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
03/06 Kaylan Bigun
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andres Santamarta Roig vs Noah Johnston?

Our model gives 60% to Andres Santamarta Roig, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.