Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 29/10, 20:00
Prediction: Sarah Mildren vs Joanna Kennedy
Team pages: Sarah Mildren · Joanna Kennedy
Prediction summary
Winner
Sarah Mildren
Joanna Kennedy
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Mildren
4-6 (W-L)
Joanna Kennedy
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarah Mildren 1484 · Joanna Kennedy 1611
| Sarah Mildren | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joanna Kennedy (rating 1484 vs 1611).
- Joanna Kennedy is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sarah Mildren | Joanna Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.7 | 13.7-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarah Mildren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Chiara Di Genova UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Audelie Lesauvage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Alice Battesti UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Joanna Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesca Mattioli UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Maria Sholokhova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Jenna Sloan UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarah Mildren vs Joanna Kennedy?
Our model gives 69% to Joanna Kennedy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.