Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 29/10, 03:30
Prediction: Sora Fukuda vs Takuya Kumasaka
Team pages: Sora Fukuda · Takuya Kumasaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Sora Fukuda
Takuya Kumasaka
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Sora Fukuda
6-4 (W-L)
Takuya Kumasaka
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sora Fukuda 1578 · Takuya Kumasaka 1510
| Sora Fukuda | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sora Fukuda (rating 1578 vs 1510).
Statistics
| Sora Fukuda | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.5 | 10.4-8 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sora Fukuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Shu Muto M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 18/10 | Oscar Brown UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Philip Sekulic M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Yusuke Kusuhara M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alibek Kachmazov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sora Fukuda vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Our model gives 51% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.