Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 30/10, 02:00
Prediction: Takuya Kumasaka vs Taiyo Yamanaka
Team pages: Takuya Kumasaka · Taiyo Yamanaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Takuya Kumasaka
Taiyo Yamanaka
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Takuya Kumasaka
6-4 (W-L)
Taiyo Yamanaka
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Takuya Kumasaka
0–1
Taiyo Yamanaka
(1 last)
- 19 May1-2 18-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Takuya Kumasaka 1495 · Taiyo Yamanaka 1525
| Takuya Kumasaka | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Takuya Kumasaka 0–1 Taiyo Yamanaka (1).
Statistics
| Takuya Kumasaka | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8 | 10.6-9.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Takuya Kumasaka 0 – 1 Taiyo Yamanaka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Takuya Kumasaka 0–1 Taiyo Yamanaka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Challenger Bengaluru | 1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Takuya Kumasaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Taiyo Yamanaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Kosuke Shibano M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Anton Shepp M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Max Purcell M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Yuta Tomida M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Takuya Kumasaka vs Taiyo Yamanaka?
Our model gives 58% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.