Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 30/10, 02:00

Prediction: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jumpei Yamasaki

Team pages: Hikaru Shiraishi · Jumpei Yamasaki

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Hikaru Shiraishi Jumpei Yamasaki
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Shiraishi 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLLWLWW
Jumpei Yamasaki 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLLWWLWW
Head-to-head
Hikaru Shiraishi 4–1 Jumpei Yamasaki (5 last)
  • 02 Apr2-1 19-15W
  • 24 Apr1-2 13-16L
  • 20 Mar2-0 13-8W
  • 22 Dec2-0 12-7W
  • 16 Nov2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hikaru Shiraishi 1492 · Jumpei Yamasaki 1480
Hikaru ShiraishiJumpei Yamasaki
Our model52%48%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Hikaru Shiraishi 4–1 Jumpei Yamasaki (5).

Statistics

Hikaru ShiraishiJumpei Yamasaki
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (3) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11-1.1
Games (G-P)9.9-9.69.3-9.8
Aces2.34.9
Double faults1.52
1st serve %66.6%62.9%
Break %46.2%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

H2H · Hikaru Shiraishi 4 – 1 Jumpei Yamasaki (5)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hikaru Shiraishi 4–1 Jumpei Yamasaki

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DateSetsGamesRes.
02/04/26
M15 Kashiwa
2-119-15W
24/04/25
ITF M15 Osaka
1-213-16L
20/03/25
M15 Nishi-Tokyo
2-013-8W
22/12/23
ITF M15 Yanagawa
2-012-7W
16/11/23
ITF M15 Kuching
2-013-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hikaru Shiraishi

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Yu Tanaka
M15 Yanagawa City
1-0 6-0 W
28/10 Sho Katayama
M15 Yanagawa City
2-0 13-8 W
22/10 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Tanagura
0-2 5-12 L
21/10 Sora Fukuda
M15 Tanagura
2-0 9-6 W
06/10 Ryan Seggerman
Challenger Wuning · Hard
1-2 19-20 L
28/09 Adam Walton
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/09 Jake Delaney
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
11/09 Seong Chan Hong
M25 Sapporo
0-2 6-12 L
10/09 Chan-Yeong Oh
M25 Sapporo
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Yusuke Takahashi
M25 Sapporo
2-0 12-6 W

Jumpei Yamasaki

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Yanagawa City
2-0 12-5 W
28/10 James Connel
M15 Yanagawa City
2-0 13-9 W
23/10 Chun-Chien Hou
M15 Tanagura
0-2 4-12 L
22/10 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Tanagura
2-0 13-7 W
20/10 Yuta Tomida
M15 Tanagura
2-1 15-11 W
04/10 Martin Borisiouk
Challenger Wuning · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/09 Max Purcell
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
21/07 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Bali
0-2 4-10 L
12/06 Jangjun Kim
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Hayden Jones
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jumpei Yamasaki?

Our model gives 57% to Hikaru Shiraishi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.