Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 29/10, 02:00
Prediction: Jumpei Yamasaki vs Noritaka Koizumi
Team pages: Jumpei Yamasaki · Noritaka Koizumi
Prediction summary
Winner
Jumpei Yamasaki
Noritaka Koizumi
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jumpei Yamasaki
5-5 (W-L)
Noritaka Koizumi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jumpei Yamasaki 1495 · Noritaka Koizumi 1487
| Jumpei Yamasaki | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jumpei Yamasaki | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.2 | 8.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 62% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jumpei Yamasaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | James Connel M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Yuta Tomida M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Max Purcell M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 12/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Hikaru Hieda M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Riku Takahata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jumpei Yamasaki vs Noritaka Koizumi?
Our model gives 59% to Jumpei Yamasaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.