Tennis · M15 Yanagawa City · 29/10, 02:00
Prediction: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Yu Tanaka
Team pages: Hikaru Shiraishi · Yu Tanaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Hikaru Shiraishi
Yu Tanaka
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Shiraishi
5-5 (W-L)
Yu Tanaka
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hikaru Shiraishi
1–0
Yu Tanaka
(1 last)
- 05 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hikaru Shiraishi 1473 · Yu Tanaka 1556
| Hikaru Shiraishi | Yu Tanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yu Tanaka (rating 1473 vs 1556).
- Yu Tanaka is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Hikaru Shiraishi 1–0 Yu Tanaka (1).
Statistics
| Hikaru Shiraishi | Yu Tanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.8 | 10.9-7.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 67.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Hikaru Shiraishi 1 – 0 Yu Tanaka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hikaru Shiraishi 1–0 Yu Tanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/25 M15 Karuizawa | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hikaru Shiraishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Sho Katayama M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 28/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Seong Chan Hong M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Chan-Yeong Oh M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yu Tanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Saki Tange M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Riku Takahata M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Hyu Kawanishi M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Yua Taka M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Naoki Tajima M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 7-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hikaru Shiraishi vs Yu Tanaka?
Our model gives 52% to Hikaru Shiraishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.