Tennis · W50 Morelia · 28/10, 21:30
Prediction: Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin vs Anastasia Tikhonova
Team pages: Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin · Anastasia Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin
Anastasia Tikhonova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin
4-6 (W-L)
Anastasia Tikhonova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin 1465 · Anastasia Tikhonova 1506
| Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Tikhonova (rating 1465 vs 1506).
- Anastasia Tikhonova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Anastasia Tikhonova makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-11.4 | 11.1-10 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 47.2% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 42% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Jessica Marmorstein W50 Morelia |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Camille Allegre W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Kallista Liu W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Carolina Alonso W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Sofia Becerra Morin W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Vesa Gjinaj W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Anya Arora W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Antonia Rivera W15 Luque · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 19/05 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Anastasia Tikhonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Midori Castillo Meza W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Ella Mcdonald W50 Austin |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Austin |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Xinyu Gao W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/10 | Mariia Tkacheva WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Simona Waltert WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Aysegul Mert WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin vs Anastasia Tikhonova?
Our model gives 77% to Anastasia Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.