Tennis · W50 Morelia · 28/10, 20:00
Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhova
Team pages: Malaika Rapolu · Maria Sholokhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Maria Sholokhova
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Sholokhova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Malaika Rapolu
2–0
Maria Sholokhova
(2 last)
- 04 Jun2-1 12-13W
- 26 May2-1 18-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1540 · Maria Sholokhova 1488
| Malaika Rapolu | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1540 vs 1488).
- Head-to-head: Malaika Rapolu 2–0 Maria Sholokhova (2).
- Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (9.7/match).
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.3 | 11.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 9.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 65% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Malaika Rapolu 2 – 0 Maria Sholokhova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malaika Rapolu 2–0 Maria Sholokhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/26 W100 Sumter | 2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 26/05/26 W35 Wichita | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Carolina Alonso W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Barbora Palicova W50 Austin |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Olivia Lincer W50 Austin |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Valeriya Strakhova W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Arantxa Rus W50 Lexington |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Dalayna Hewitt W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Carmen Andreea Herea W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Maria Sholokhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Zoe Hitt W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Connie Ma W35 Redding |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Lan Mi W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Mao Mushika W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Carlota Moreno W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Anna Rogers W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Olivia Lincer W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Adriana Reami W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhova?
Our model gives 67% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.