Tennis · W50 Morelia · 28/10, 20:00
Prediction: Justina Mikulskyte vs Caterina Odorizzi
Team pages: Justina Mikulskyte · Caterina Odorizzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Justina Mikulskyte
Caterina Odorizzi
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Justina Mikulskyte
2-8 (W-L)
Caterina Odorizzi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justina Mikulskyte 1445 · Caterina Odorizzi 1415
| Justina Mikulskyte | Caterina Odorizzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Justina Mikulskyte makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Justina Mikulskyte | Caterina Odorizzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.5 | 7.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justina Mikulskyte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Giulia Alessia Monteleone W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Hiromi Abe W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Isabella Marton W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Chloe Paquet WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Antonia Rivera WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Caterina Odorizzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Kennedy Gibbs W50 Morelia |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 13/10 | Maria Andrienko W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anna Snigireva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jaya Kapoor W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Cristina Pescucci W35 Verbier Qual |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Gaeul Jang W50 Prague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Milana Ivantsiv W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 27/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justina Mikulskyte vs Caterina Odorizzi?
Our model gives 76% to Justina Mikulskyte, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.