Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Kaede Usui vs Kaya Moe
Team pages: Kaede Usui · Kaya Moe
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaede Usui
Kaya Moe
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kaede Usui
3-7 (W-L)
Kaya Moe
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaede Usui 1525 · Kaya Moe 1569
| Kaede Usui | Kaya Moe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaya Moe (rating 1525 vs 1569).
- Note: Kaya Moe makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Kaede Usui | Kaya Moe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10 | 13-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.2% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 46% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaede Usui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Francesca Mattioli UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Hephzibah Oluwadare UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Prisha Lingam UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Milana Tsulygina UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Juliana Singeorzan W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/11 | Kristina Novak ITF W15 Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 05/11 | Zuzana Kudlackova ITF W15 Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Kaya Moe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaede Usui vs Kaya Moe?
Our model gives 61% to Kaya Moe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.