Tennis · M25 Norman · 28/10, 19:30

Prediction: Tyler Zink vs Charlie Swaine

Team pages: Tyler Zink · Charlie Swaine

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Tyler Zink Charlie Swaine
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Tyler Zink 1-9 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Charlie Swaine 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tyler Zink 1391 · Charlie Swaine 1530
Tyler ZinkCharlie Swaine
Our model31%69%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlie Swaine (rating 1391 vs 1530).
  • Charlie Swaine is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Tyler ZinkCharlie Swaine
Win %10%60%
Win % · Hard 11% (9) –
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.91.3-1
Games (G-P)10.7-1410.2-10.3
Aces5.63
Double faults1.83.2
1st serve %68.1%69.3%
Break %24%49.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tyler Zink

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Jeffrey John Wolf
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/10 Benjamin Willwerth
M25 Austin
0-2 9-13 L
28/09 Mitchell Krueger
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
22/09 Federico Agustin Gomez
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/09 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
24/08 Luis Guto Miguel
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Valentin Royer
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/08 Lucas Andrade da Silva
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
13/08 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
03/08 Millen Hurrion
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 19-19 L

Charlie Swaine

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Dominick Mosejczuk
M25 Norman
2-1 11-12 W
25/09 Oliver Bonding
M15 Columbia
0-2 4-12 L
24/09 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Columbia
2-0 12-6 W
23/09 Duje Markovina
M15 Columbia
2-0 12-4 W
27/07 Hugo Coquelin
M25 Aldershot
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 William Mclennaghan
M25 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
27/06 Peter Sallay
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
26/06 Botond Kisantal
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Adam Jilly
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/06 Martyn Pawelski
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-1 17-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tyler Zink vs Charlie Swaine?

Our model gives 63% to Tyler Zink, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.