Tennis · M25 Norman · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Sean Daryabeigi vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Team pages: Sean Daryabeigi · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Prediction summary
Winner
Sean Daryabeigi
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sean Daryabeigi
7-3 (W-L)
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sean Daryabeigi
1–0
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
(1 last)
- 13 Feb2-1 20-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sean Daryabeigi 1516 · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1411
| Sean Daryabeigi | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sean Daryabeigi (rating 1516 vs 1411).
- Sean Daryabeigi is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sean Daryabeigi 1–0 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (1).
Statistics
| Sean Daryabeigi | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.7 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.2 | 7.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Sean Daryabeigi 1 – 0 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sean Daryabeigi 1–0 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/23 ITF M15 Weston | 2-1 | 20-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sean Daryabeigi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Norman |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Oliver Bonding M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/09 | William Jansen M15 Columbia |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Tito Chavez M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Olaf Pieczkowski M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-8 | L |
| 08/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Etienne Marty M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Austin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Vojtech Mares Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sean Daryabeigi vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Our model gives 53% to Sean Daryabeigi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.