Tennis · M25 Norman · 28/10, 17:30
Prediction: Alastair Gray vs Emanuel Ivanisevic
Team pages: Alastair Gray · Emanuel Ivanisevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Alastair Gray
Emanuel Ivanisevic
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alastair Gray
4-6 (W-L)
Emanuel Ivanisevic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alastair Gray 1514 · Emanuel Ivanisevic 1420
| Alastair Gray | Emanuel Ivanisevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alastair Gray (rating 1514 vs 1420).
- Alastair Gray is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Alastair Gray makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alastair Gray | Emanuel Ivanisevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-13.3 | 8.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alastair Gray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Li Tu M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Spencer Johnson M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Emanuel Ivanisevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Sydney Zick M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Ryo Tabata M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Dubrovnik · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Eero Vasa M15 Dubrovnik · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/03 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Split · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/03 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/03 | Mili Poljicak M15 Porec · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alastair Gray vs Emanuel Ivanisevic?
Our model gives 75% to Alastair Gray, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.