Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 28/10, 19:30
Prediction: Birtan Duran vs Adrien Jonah Abarca
Team pages: Birtan Duran · Adrien Jonah Abarca
Prediction summary
Winner
Birtan Duran
Adrien Jonah Abarca
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Birtan Duran
4-6 (W-L)
Adrien Jonah Abarca
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Birtan Duran
1–0
Adrien Jonah Abarca
(1 last)
- 11 Sept2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Birtan Duran 1484 · Adrien Jonah Abarca 1374
| Birtan Duran | Adrien Jonah Abarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Birtan Duran (rating 1484 vs 1374).
- Birtan Duran is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Birtan Duran 1–0 Adrien Jonah Abarca (1).
Statistics
| Birtan Duran | Adrien Jonah Abarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.9 | 5.8-12.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 18.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
H2H · Birtan Duran 1 – 0 Adrien Jonah Abarca (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Birtan Duran 1–0 Adrien Jonah Abarca
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/26 UTR Pro Knoxville | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Birtan Duran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Matei Cristian Onofrei UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Diego Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 23/08 | Antoine Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Clement Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Asier Ayllon Prado UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Adrien Jonah Abarca
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Thomas Cardona Herrera UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Denny Bao UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Woodson Mcmillin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Diego Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Birtan Duran vs Adrien Jonah Abarca?
Our model gives 75% to Birtan Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.