Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 31/10, 14:30
Prediction: Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas vs Mathis Bondaz
Team pages: Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas · Mathis Bondaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
Mathis Bondaz
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
7-3 (W-L)
Mathis Bondaz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas 1586 · Mathis Bondaz 1546
| Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas | Mathis Bondaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas (rating 1586 vs 1546).
Statistics
| Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas | Mathis Bondaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-6.7 | 11.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/10 | Nicolas Cortes Campos UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Eric Crivei UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Carlos V F Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Denny Bao UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Pepijn Bastiaansen UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
Mathis Bondaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Aryan Saleh UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Nathan Pitts UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Rohan Belday UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Max Benaim M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Leandro Riedi Challenger Phoenix · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/11 | Lui Maxted M25 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Austin |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 19/11 | Joao Goncalves M25 Austin |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas vs Mathis Bondaz?
Our model gives 57% to Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.