Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 30/10, 18:30
Prediction: Alejandro Moreno vs Shion Itsusaki
Team pages: Alejandro Moreno · Shion Itsusaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moreno
Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moreno
5-5 (W-L)
Shion Itsusaki
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alejandro Moreno
1–0
Shion Itsusaki
(1 last)
- 10 Sept2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moreno 1508 · Shion Itsusaki 1511
| Alejandro Moreno | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Moreno 1–0 Shion Itsusaki (1).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moreno | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.1 | 8.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Alejandro Moreno 1 – 0 Shion Itsusaki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Moreno 1–0 Shion Itsusaki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 UTR Pro Knoxville | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moreno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Thomas Cardona Herrera UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Hugo Coquelin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Shion Itsusaki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jacob Brisky UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Aryan Saleh UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Alan Bojarski UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Alejandro Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moreno vs Shion Itsusaki?
Our model gives 67% to Alejandro Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.