Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville · 28/10, 19:00

Prediction: Graeme Angus vs Shion Itsusaki

Team pages: Graeme Angus · Shion Itsusaki

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Graeme Angus Shion Itsusaki
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Graeme Angus 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWLL
Shion Itsusaki 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Graeme Angus 1440 · Shion Itsusaki 1475
Graeme AngusShion Itsusaki
Our model45%55%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Graeme AngusShion Itsusaki
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 17% (6) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41-1.3
Games (G-P)8.5-10.29.5-11.8
Aces02.6
Double faults1.81.9
1st serve %54%63%
Break %31.2%41.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Graeme Angus

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Benjamin Sparks
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/07 Juan David Velasquez
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
24/07 Carter Craig
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/07 Marshall Landry
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/07 Kase Schinnerer
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
1-2 10-18 L
21/07 Cody Benton
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
11/07 Dillon Beckles
Davis Cup
0-2 5-12 L
10/07 Yigal Bergen
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Patrick Sydow
Davis Cup
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Niike Hughes
Davis Cup
2-0 12-1 W

Shion Itsusaki

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Aryan Saleh
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/09 Anas Bennour Dit Sahli
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Alan Bojarski
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/09 Alejandro Moreno
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
09/09 Leo Pade
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
07/09 Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
18/07 Yuga Tashiro
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
16/07 Naoto Tomizawa
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
15/07 Penn Charusorn
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
14/07 Jonathan Irwanto
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-1 16-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Graeme Angus vs Shion Itsusaki?

Our model gives 57% to Shion Itsusaki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.