Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 28/10, 19:00

Prediction: Alyson Shannon vs Lisa Kamigata

Team pages: Alyson Shannon · Lisa Kamigata

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Alyson Shannon Lisa Kamigata
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alyson Shannon 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWLLW
Lisa Kamigata 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alyson Shannon 1502 · Lisa Kamigata 1522
Alyson ShannonLisa Kamigata
Our model47%53%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alyson ShannonLisa Kamigata
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.4-1
Games (G-P)11-1111.1-8.9
Aces1.30.7
Double faults2.63.2
1st serve %58.9%61.2%
Break %66.1%62.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alyson Shannon

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Ava Esposito Cogan
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
13/09 Saray Yli-Piipari
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
12/09 Nadia Elle Valdez
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
10/09 Sarah Mildren
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
09/09 Skylar Kasday
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/09 Carlota Moreno
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/09 Alice Battesti
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
25/07 Alian Zack
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
24/07 Ella Brownback
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
23/07 Zuzanna Kubacha
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
0-2 2-12 L

Lisa Kamigata

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Gabia Paskauskas
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-1 16-7 W
12/09 Saray Yli-Piipari
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
1-2 14-12 L
11/09 Alice Soulie
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
09/09 Stefani Webb
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/09 Julia Zhu
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Chiara Di Genova
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
15/05 Shiho Tsujioka
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/05 Minami Suzuki
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/05 Sun Min Ha
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
12/05 Suzuna Oigawa
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
2-1 9-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alyson Shannon vs Lisa Kamigata?

Our model gives 54% to Lisa Kamigata, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.