Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 28/10, 21:00
Prediction: Sarah Mildren vs Audrey Aulia
Team pages: Sarah Mildren · Audrey Aulia
Prediction summary
Winner
Sarah Mildren
Audrey Aulia
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Mildren
5-5 (W-L)
Audrey Aulia
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarah Mildren 1499 · Audrey Aulia 1491
| Sarah Mildren | Audrey Aulia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Audrey Aulia makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sarah Mildren | Audrey Aulia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.4 | 10.5-13 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarah Mildren
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Chiara Di Genova UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Audelie Lesauvage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Alice Battesti UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlota Moreno UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Audrey Aulia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Nadia Elle Valdez UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Mia Robinson UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarah Mildren vs Audrey Aulia?
Our model gives 55% to Sarah Mildren, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.