Tennis · ATP Basel · 29/10, 12:00

Prediction: Daniel Altmaier vs Jiri Lehecka

Team pages: Daniel Altmaier · Jiri Lehecka

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Daniel Altmaier Jiri Lehecka
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Altmaier 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLWLWLL
Jiri Lehecka 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Daniel Altmaier 0–1 Jiri Lehecka (1 last)
  • 17 Oct0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniel Altmaier 1517 · Jiri Lehecka 1581
Daniel AltmaierJiri Lehecka
Our model41%59%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiri Lehecka (rating 1517 vs 1581).
  • Head-to-head: Daniel Altmaier 0–1 Jiri Lehecka (1).

Statistics

Daniel AltmaierJiri Lehecka
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.6-0.9
Games (G-P)11.6-13.313.9-11.1
Aces8.29.8
Double faults1.60.8
1st serve %72.2%82.6%
Break %32.1%34.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.6 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.1
Over 20.5: 71% · 1.80 Under 20.5: 29% · 1.90

H2H · Daniel Altmaier 0 – 1 Jiri Lehecka (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Altmaier 0–1 Jiri Lehecka

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/10/24
ATP Antwerp
0-27-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniel Altmaier

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Basel · Hard
2-1 19-17 W
25/10 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Basel · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/10 Henry Bernet
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
23/10 Taylor Fritz
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/10 Borna Gojo
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Titouan Droguet
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 19-19 W
09/10 Ben Shelton
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
07/10 Holger Rune
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
28/09 Jie Cui
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/09 Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup
0-2 7-12 L

Jiri Lehecka

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Stan Wawrinka
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
23/10 Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Brussels · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
22/10 Raphael Collignon
ATP Brussels · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/10 Rafael Jodar
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
10/10 Nuno Borges
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
06/10 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Tokyo · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
05/10 Valentin Vacherot
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/10 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
03/10 Ugo Humbert
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
01/10 Zizou Bergs
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniel Altmaier vs Jiri Lehecka?

Our model gives 73% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.