Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 28/10, 18:00
Prediction: Andrew Johnson vs Xavi Palomar
Team pages: Andrew Johnson · Xavi Palomar
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Johnson
Xavi Palomar
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Johnson
4-6 (W-L)
Xavi Palomar
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Johnson 1512 · Xavi Palomar 1517
| Andrew Johnson | Xavi Palomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrew Johnson | Xavi Palomar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.7 | 10-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Taro Daniel US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Lucca Liu M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Gavin Goode M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Xavi Palomar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Jelani Sarr M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Diogo Marques M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Stefan Seifert M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Miguel Damas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Diego Esteban Torres M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Jaume Casas Blasi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Noah Regas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Tristan McCormick M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Johnson vs Xavi Palomar?
Our model gives 65% to Andrew Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.