Tennis · M25 Las Vegas · 28/10, 18:00
Prediction: Oliver Okonkwo vs Noah Johnston
Team pages: Oliver Okonkwo · Noah Johnston
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliver Okonkwo
Noah Johnston
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Okonkwo
9-1 (W-L)
Noah Johnston
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Okonkwo 1558 · Noah Johnston 1477
| Oliver Okonkwo | Noah Johnston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Okonkwo (rating 1558 vs 1477).
- Oliver Okonkwo dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 54.2% break avg.
- Oliver Okonkwo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oliver Okonkwo | Noah Johnston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.4 | 10.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Okonkwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Andres Martin Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Andrei Caragea UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Noah Richer UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Chad Miller UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Vincent Yang UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Felix Corwin M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Noah Johnston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Photos Photiades M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Jelani Sarr M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Tristan McCormick M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Noah Zamora M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Jacob Brumm M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Noah Zamora M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Ozan Baris M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Okonkwo vs Noah Johnston?
Our model gives 60% to Oliver Okonkwo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.