Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Martina Colmegna
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Martina Colmegna
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Martina Colmegna
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
8-2 (W-L)
Martina Colmegna
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1599 · Martina Colmegna 1520
| Tatjana Maria | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatjana Maria (rating 1599 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-5.6 | 10.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Carlota Garibay Romero WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/10 | Reese Brantmeier W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Victoria Hu W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/10 | Dana Guzman W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Alana Smith W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Lea Ma W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Martina Colmegna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Francesca Jones WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Alena Kovackova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Mia Horvit W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Federica Bilardo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/09 | Gabriella Price WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Martina Colmegna?
Our model gives 75% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.