Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 31/10, 01:00
Prediction: Fiona Ferro vs Elizabeth Mandlik
Team pages: Fiona Ferro · Elizabeth Mandlik
Prediction summary
Winner
Fiona Ferro
Elizabeth Mandlik
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Fiona Ferro
8-2 (W-L)
Elizabeth Mandlik
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fiona Ferro
1–0
Elizabeth Mandlik
(1 last)
- 18 Aug2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fiona Ferro 1595 · Elizabeth Mandlik 1517
| Fiona Ferro | Elizabeth Mandlik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiona Ferro (rating 1595 vs 1517).
- Fiona Ferro is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Fiona Ferro 1–0 Elizabeth Mandlik (1).
- Note: Elizabeth Mandlik makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Fiona Ferro | Elizabeth Mandlik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.6 | 11.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Fiona Ferro 1 – 0 Elizabeth Mandlik (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiona Ferro 1–0 Elizabeth Mandlik
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/19 WTA New York | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiona Ferro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Adriana Reami WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/10 | Sofia Johnson WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Selena Janicijevic WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Yidi Yang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Elizabeth Mandlik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Selena Janicijevic WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Emiliana Arango WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Austin |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Barbora Palicova W50 Austin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Mayu Crossley W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Kristina Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiona Ferro vs Elizabeth Mandlik?
Our model gives 71% to Fiona Ferro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.