Tennis · WTA Queretaro · 30/10, 22:30
Prediction: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet
Team pages: Nadia Podoroska · Carole Monnet
Prediction summary
Winner
Nadia Podoroska
Carole Monnet
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nadia Podoroska
7-3 (W-L)
Carole Monnet
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nadia Podoroska
1–0
Carole Monnet
(1 last)
- 02 Feb2-1 16-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nadia Podoroska 1562 · Carole Monnet 1471
| Nadia Podoroska | Carole Monnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nadia Podoroska (rating 1562 vs 1471).
- Nadia Podoroska is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nadia Podoroska 1–0 Carole Monnet (1).
- Note: Nadia Podoroska makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Carole Monnet makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Nadia Podoroska | Carole Monnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.9 | 10.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Nadia Podoroska 1 – 0 Carole Monnet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nadia Podoroska 1–0 Carole Monnet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/23 WTA Cali | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nadia Podoroska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/10 | Alice Rame WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Varvara Lepchenko W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Eva Lys WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Ena Koike WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Carole Monnet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Carmen Andreea Herea WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Lucie Havlickova W100 Wrexham |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Daria Yesypchuk WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Fiona Crawley WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Sloane Stephens WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet?
Our model gives 63% to Nadia Podoroska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.