Tennis · Challenger Brest · 29/10, 10:00
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Ugo Blanchet
Team pages: Martin Damm · Ugo Blanchet
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Ugo Blanchet
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
6-4 (W-L)
Ugo Blanchet
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1494 · Ugo Blanchet 1561
| Martin Damm | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ugo Blanchet (rating 1494 vs 1561).
- Ugo Blanchet is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.2 | 11.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 14.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 76% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 26/09 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
Ugo Blanchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Ugo Blanchet?
Our model gives 58% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.