Tennis · Challenger Brest · 30/10, 18:30
Prediction: Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli
Team pages: Moise Kouame · Francesco Maestrelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Moise Kouame
Francesco Maestrelli
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moise Kouame
6-4 (W-L)
Francesco Maestrelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moise Kouame 1502 · Francesco Maestrelli 1478
| Moise Kouame | Francesco Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Francesco Maestrelli dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 56.3% break avg.
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Moise Kouame | Francesco Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.7 | 11.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 47% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Francesco Maestrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Arthur Nagel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli?
Our model gives 60% to Moise Kouame, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.