Tennis · Challenger Brest · 28/10, 15:30
Prediction: Matisse Bobichon vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Matisse Bobichon · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Matisse Bobichon
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matisse Bobichon
7-3 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matisse Bobichon 1554 · Otto Virtanen 1502
| Matisse Bobichon | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matisse Bobichon (rating 1554 vs 1502).
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 12.8 aces and 47.6% break avg.
- Matisse Bobichon is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Otto Virtanen makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Matisse Bobichon | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.4 | 14-13.8 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 12.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Michael Geerts Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Yannik Kelm Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Billy Harris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/10 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/10 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Valentin Vacherot Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Lucas Catarina Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-31 | L |
| 26/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Ugo Blanchet US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matisse Bobichon vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 62% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.