Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 29/10, 03:00

Prediction: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney

Team pages: Yi Zhou · Jake Delaney

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Yi Zhou Jake Delaney
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yi Zhou 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLL
Jake Delaney 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yi Zhou 1536 · Jake Delaney 1522
Yi ZhouJake Delaney
Our model52%48%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Jake Delaney dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 40.1% break avg.

Statistics

Yi ZhouJake Delaney
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11-1.1
Games (G-P)11.9-12.211-10.3
Aces7.810.3
Double faults2.32
1st serve %79.8%79.3%
Break %24.2%40.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yi Zhou

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Elias Ymer
Challenger Ningbo · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
24/10 Coleman Wong
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/10 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
21/10 Zhizhen Zhang
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Koki Matsuda
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
11/10 Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
09/10 Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 17-18 W
07/10 Mattia Bellucci
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
28/09 Pablo Carreno Busta
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
24/09 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Chengdu · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Jake Delaney

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Ningbo · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
19/10 Coleman Wong
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
13/10 Marat Sharipov
Challenger Jinan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/10 Zane Stevens
M25 Darwin
0-2 10-13 L
08/10 Wihan Van Der Merwe
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-4 W
07/10 Harrison Satara
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-4 W
02/10 Derek Pham
M25 Darwin
0-2 12-14 L
01/10 Lachlan Vickery
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-9 W
30/09 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-8 W
22/09 Taro Daniel
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney?

Our model gives 66% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.