Tennis · Challenger Ningbo · 29/10, 03:00
Prediction: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui
Team pages: Tristan Schoolkate · Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Schoolkate
Jie Cui
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Jie Cui
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Schoolkate
1–2
Jie Cui
(3 last)
- 24 Oct2-1 19-17W
- 09 May0-2 6-12L
- 09 May0-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Schoolkate 1543 · Jie Cui 1542
| Tristan Schoolkate | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Schoolkate dominates on serve: 12.7 aces and 48.2% break avg.
- Jie Cui dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 43.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tristan Schoolkate 1–2 Jie Cui (3).
Statistics
| Tristan Schoolkate | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-13 | 12.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 12.7 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Tristan Schoolkate 1 – 2 Jie Cui (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Schoolkate 1–2 Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 Challenger Guangzhou | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 09/05/25 Challenger Wuxi | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/05/24 Challenger Wuxi | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Philip Henning Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Jie Cui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Linang Xiao Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 23/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Yibing Wu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 57% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.