Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 28/10, 11:00
Prediction: Gijs Brouwer vs S Mert Ozdemir
Team pages: Gijs Brouwer · S Mert Ozdemir
Prediction summary
Winner
Gijs Brouwer
S Mert Ozdemir
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Gijs Brouwer
3-7 (W-L)
S Mert Ozdemir
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gijs Brouwer 1446 · S Mert Ozdemir 1476
| Gijs Brouwer | S Mert Ozdemir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: S Mert Ozdemir makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Gijs Brouwer | S Mert Ozdemir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-13 | 8.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 30.4% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gijs Brouwer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
S Mert Ozdemir
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Martino Guidotti M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Benoit Torcq M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Baku |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Paul Jubb M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Daniil Ovcharenko M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Mirza Basic Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gijs Brouwer vs S Mert Ozdemir?
Our model gives 70% to Gijs Brouwer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.