Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 29/10, 05:00
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Xinran Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Xinran Sun
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
8-2 (W-L)
Xinran Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1601 · Xinran Sun 1514
| Maria Timofeeva | Xinran Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1601 vs 1514).
- Maria Timofeeva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Xinran Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-7.9 | 9.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 62% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Elise Mertens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Xinran Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Coco Gauff WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Luna Vujovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Nadja Mladenovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun?
Our model gives 63% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.