Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 28/10, 12:00
Prediction: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska
Team pages: Han Shi · Dayana Yastremska
Prediction summary
Winner
Han Shi
Dayana Yastremska
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Han Shi
4-6 (W-L)
Dayana Yastremska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1559 · Dayana Yastremska 1538
| Han Shi | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Dayana Yastremska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.8 | 11.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Alina Korneeva WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexandra Eala WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Peyton Stearns WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Renata Zarazua WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Yidi Yang WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Dayana Yastremska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 25/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Xiaodi You WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska?
Our model gives 52% to Dayana Yastremska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.