Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 29/10, 04:00
Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette
Team pages: Lilli Tagger · Magda Linette
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Magda Linette
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
5-5 (W-L)
Magda Linette
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1506 · Magda Linette 1450
| Lilli Tagger | Magda Linette | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilli Tagger (rating 1506 vs 1450).
- Lilli Tagger dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 45.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Magda Linette | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.1 | 9.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Venus Williams WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Tereza Valentova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Amanda Anisimova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamara Korpatsch US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Magda Linette
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Claire Liu WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Carol Zhao WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette?
Our model gives 65% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.