Tennis · WTA Tokyo · 28/10, 05:30

Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider

Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Diana Shnaider

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich Diana Shnaider
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWWW
Diana Shnaider 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Head-to-head
Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0–2 Diana Shnaider (2 last)
  • 21 Jul0-2 8-12L
  • 10 Feb0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1591 · Diana Shnaider 1570
Aliaksandra SasnovichDiana Shnaider
Our model53%47%
Market26%74%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0–2 Diana Shnaider (2).

Statistics

Aliaksandra SasnovichDiana Shnaider
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.5-0.7
Games (G-P)12.2-9.512-9.1
Aces2.41
Double faults33.1
1st serve %67.1%65.2%
Break %54.4%54.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 53% · 1.90 Under 20.5: 47% · 1.80

H2H · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0 – 2 Diana Shnaider (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0–2 Diana Shnaider

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DateSetsGamesRes.
21/07/24
WTA Budapest
0-28-12L
10/02/24
WTA Doha
0-23-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
25/10 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
24/10 Yulia Starodubtsewa
WTA Tokyo · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
21/10 Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Ningbo · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
19/10 Daria Kasatkina
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
17/10 Anna Bondar
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/10 Elvina Kalieva
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
07/10 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
05/10 Xinxin Yao
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
02/10 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Diana Shnaider

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/10 Elena Rybakina
WTA Ningbo · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/10 Iva Jovic
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
22/10 Alexandra Eala
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
20/10 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Ningbo · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
16/10 Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Wuhan · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
15/10 Karolina Muchova
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
14/10 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/10 Katie Boulter
WTA Wuhan · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
04/10 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
02/10 Janice Tjen
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider?

Our model gives 62% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.